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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 06:20, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Milwaukee on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 64% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:20 → MSP 12:04DL 2134 1h 50m Minneapolis MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006 6h 49m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → ATL 13:49DL 729 1h 40m Atlanta ATL 15:29 → MKE 16:31DL 1206 8h 16m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAN 10:36 → ATL 18:11DL 725 1h 45m Atlanta ATL 19:56 → MKE 21:05DL 2388 8h 29m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → DTW 13:48DL 754 2h 02m Detroit DTW 15:50 → MKE 16:02DL 1343 7h 47m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → SAN 07:59 → IAH 13:29UA 2760 1h 08m Houston IAH 14:37 → MKE 17:34UA 6139 · flown by Mesa 7h 35m 95% 83%
UnitedDetails → SAN 11:58 → IAH 17:25UA 2237 2h 24m Houston IAH 19:49 → MKE 22:37UA 4774 · flown by SkyWest 8h 39m 97% 82%
AmericanDetails → SAN 06:50 → CLT 14:49AA 1651 3h 40m Charlotte CLT 18:29 → MKE 19:46AA 1072 10h 56m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → SAN 07:29 → JFK 16:19DL 367 3h 07m New York JFK 19:26 → MKE 20:39DL 4986 · flown by Endeavor 11h 10m 97% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SAN 11:37 → DTW 19:10DL 492 50m Detroit DTW 20:00 → MKE 20:20DL 3724 · flown by SkyWest 6h 43m 70% 59%
UnitedDetails → SAN 10:35 → ORD 16:52UA 1710 53m Chicago ORD 17:45 → MKE 18:48UA 5555 · flown by SkyWest 6h 13m 64% 53%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON