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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 11:48, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Omaha on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 11:48 → MSP 17:40DL 2121 3h 50m Minneapolis MSP 21:30 → OMA 22:48DL 4014 · flown by SkyWest 9h 00m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → DTW 13:48DL 754 2h 12m Detroit DTW 16:00 → OMA 17:10DL 3889 · flown by SkyWest 8h 55m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → ATL 13:49DL 729 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364 9h 33m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → SAN 13:39 → SFO 15:19UA 1763 3h 09m San Francisco SFO 18:28 → OMA 23:54UA 2839 8h 15m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → SAN 10:36 → ATL 18:11DL 725 1h 19m Atlanta ATL 19:30 → OMA 20:54DL 2707 8h 18m 94% 82%
UnitedDetails → SAN 11:58 → IAH 17:25UA 2237 2h 26m Houston IAH 19:51 → OMA 22:22UA 8216 8h 24m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → SAN 08:45 → DEN 12:17UA 2476 1h 33m Denver DEN 13:50 → OMA 16:24UA 2327 5h 39m 93% 81%
AmericanDetails → SAN 12:20 → DFW 17:40AA 1467 3h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:58 → OMA 22:57AA 2270 8h 37m 97% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON