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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:40, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Baltimore on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1059 Southwest SAT 06:34 BWI 11:20 2% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 686 Southwest SAT 14:39 BWI 19:28 5% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of San Antonio). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAT 05:20 → ATL 08:46DL 1073 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → BWI 13:01DL 2711 6h 41m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → SAT 06:40 → ATL 10:07DL 1066 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 14:02 → BWI 15:53DL 2799 8h 13m 99% 92%
UnitedDetails → SAT 07:43 → IAH 08:50UA 410 3h 26m Houston IAH 12:16 → BWI 16:30UA 1720 7h 47m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAT 05:15 → DTW 09:20DL 2497 55m Detroit DTW 10:15 → BWI 11:47DL 1546 5h 32m 95% 88%
AmericanDetails → SAT 06:01 → CLT 10:00AA 1119 2h 35m Charlotte CLT 12:35 → BWI 14:11AA 2733 7h 10m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → SAT 06:40 → ORD 09:38UA 1332 1h 13m Chicago ORD 10:51 → BWI 13:57UA 2653 6h 17m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAT 10:38 → ATL 14:05DL 1676 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 16:45 → BWI 18:41DL 2928 7h 03m 99% 87%
SouthwestDetails → SAT 13:34 → DAL 14:45WN 1353 1h 38m Dallas DAL 16:23 → BWI 20:30WN 1260 5h 56m 100% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON