tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 3500 at 11:44, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 3500 Southwest SAT 11:44 MCI 13:48 5% 1% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAT 06:30 → SLC 08:21DL 2592 2h 13m Salt Lake City SLC 10:34 → MCI 13:57DL 2882 7h 27m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → SAT 06:40 → ATL 10:07DL 1066 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 13:24 → MCI 14:29DL 1443 7h 49m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAT 05:20 → ATL 08:46DL 1073 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → MCI 12:13DL 2747 6h 53m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → SAT 05:30 → IAH 06:37UA 469 1h 23m Houston IAH 08:00 → MCI 10:15UA 2009 4h 45m 97% 89%
UnitedDetails → SAT 06:40 → ORD 09:38UA 1332 3h 02m Chicago ORD 12:40 → MCI 14:20UA 561 7h 40m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → SAT 05:00 → DFW 06:26AA 2616 54m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:20 → MCI 09:10AA 2430 4h 10m 97% 88%
UnitedDetails → SAT 08:53 → DEN 10:11UA 2853 3h 29m Denver DEN 13:40 → MCI 16:22UA 586 7h 29m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → SAT 05:01 → DFW 06:18AA 2342 2h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:04 → MCI 10:52AA 3331 5h 51m 99% 87%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON