tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 555 Southwest SAT 07:59 MCO 11:38 5% 1% 0.9% no record
F9 1654 Frontier Flight history → SAT 09:54 MCO 13:48 10% 4% 2.1% 77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of San Antonio). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SAT 05:30 → IAH 06:37UA 469 2h 53m Houston IAH 09:30 → MCO 13:00UA 2310 6h 30m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAT 05:20 → ATL 08:46DL 1073 1h 39m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664 5h 40m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAT 06:40 → ATL 10:07DL 1066 1h 18m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → MCO 13:00DL 1030 5h 20m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAT 05:15 → DTW 09:20DL 2497 3h 03m Detroit DTW 12:23 → MCO 15:01DL 1123 8h 46m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → SAT 06:40 → ORD 09:38UA 1332 1h 22m Chicago ORD 11:00 → MCO 15:03UA 2008 7h 23m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAT 10:38 → ATL 14:05DL 1676 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → MCO 19:48DL 2035 8h 10m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → SAT 07:40 → ATL 11:06DL 998 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 13:00 → MCO 14:32DL 1576 5h 52m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → SAT 06:01 → CLT 10:00AA 1119 2h 29m Charlotte CLT 12:29 → MCO 14:17AA 2117 7h 16m 99% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON