Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 8 nonstops

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 8 nonstops are 4–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Safest bet that day DL 1702 SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53 · 4% chance 15+ min late · usually 92% on time Riskiest DL 3014 SAV 17:05 → ATL 18:19 · 8% chance 15+ min late · usually 79% on time

Against a calm day 6% average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 5% for the same flights on a calm-weather day

Every nonstop on Wed, Oct 7

12-month record →

Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.


DL 1702 Delta Flight history →	SAV 06:43	ATL 07:53	4%	2%	0.6%	92%
DL 3098 Delta Flight history →	SAV 05:39	ATL 06:45	4%	2%	0.6%	94%
DL 3054 Delta Flight history →	SAV 12:38	ATL 13:54	5%	2%	0.5%	92%
DL 3011 Delta Flight history →	SAV 10:03	ATL 11:09	5%	2%	0.5%	90%
DL 3112 Delta Flight history →	SAV 19:07	ATL 20:34	6%	2%	0.6%	80%
DL 686 Delta Flight history →	SAV 08:10	ATL 09:18	6%	2%	0.6%	87%
DL 1067 Delta Flight history →	SAV 15:43	ATL 16:54	7%	2%	0.6%	81%
DL 3014 Delta Flight history →	SAV 17:05	ATL 18:19	8%	2%	0.6%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON