tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4398 Southwest SAV 08:04 BWI 09:54 4% 2% 0.8% no record
WN 1049 Southwest SAV 17:01 BWI 18:52 10% 3% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 08:55 → BWI 10:47DL 801 5h 08m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → BWI 13:01DL 2711 6h 18m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011 2h 53m Atlanta ATL 14:02 → BWI 15:53DL 2799 5h 50m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAV 12:38 → ATL 13:54DL 3054 2h 51m Atlanta ATL 16:45 → BWI 18:41DL 2928 6h 03m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → SAV 15:43 → ATL 16:54DL 1067 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 19:30 → BWI 21:26DL 1257 5h 43m 96% 83%
AmericanDetails → SAV 12:07 → CLT 13:25AA 5534 · flown by PSA 2h 52m Charlotte CLT 16:17 → BWI 17:55AA 3121 5h 48m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → SAV 11:23 → DTW 13:34DL 1119 1h 31m Detroit DTW 15:05 → BWI 16:41DL 2480 5h 18m 95% 80%
DeltaDetails → SAV 15:23 → BOS 18:00DL 5647 · flown by Republic 2h 35m Boston BOS 20:35 → BWI 22:29DL 5851 · flown by Republic 7h 06m 92% 67%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON