tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 1119 Delta Flight history → SAV 11:23 DTW 13:34 6% 2% 0.5% 90%
OO 3711 SkyWest SAV 18:00 DTW 20:14 11% 5% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702 3h 07m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240 6h 13m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098 1h 35m Atlanta ATL 08:20 → DTW 10:19DL 643 4h 40m 97% 92%
DeltaDetails → SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 13:47 → DTW 15:42DL 1031 5h 39m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → SAV 12:38 → ATL 13:54DL 3054 1h 34m Atlanta ATL 15:28 → DTW 17:27DL 1005 4h 49m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAV 19:07 → ATL 20:34DL 3112 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → DTW 00:59 +1DL 2940 5h 52m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAV 15:43 → ATL 16:54DL 1067 3h 36m Atlanta ATL 20:30 → DTW 22:33DL 1232 6h 50m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SAV 17:05 → ATL 18:19DL 3014 3h 26m Atlanta ATL 21:45 → DTW 23:44DL 651 6h 39m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SAV 07:50 → JFK 10:02DL 5032 · flown by Endeavor 2h 53m New York JFK 12:55 → DTW 14:42DL 1654 6h 52m 97% 87%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON