Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


UA 6220 United flown by Mesa Flight history →	SAV 07:15	IAH 09:00	8%	3%	0.9%	92%
UA 6185 United flown by Mesa Flight history →	SAV 15:29	IAH 17:04	11%	4%	0.8%	79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 08:10 → ATL 09:18DL 686	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 12:27 → IAH 13:33DL 1572	6h 23m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → IAH 11:14DL 1682	6h 35m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	SAV 15:43 → ATL 16:54DL 1067	3h 19m Atlanta	ATL 20:13 → IAH 21:24DL 1284	6h 41m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	3h 36m Atlanta	ATL 14:45 → IAH 15:51DL 1223	6h 48m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	SAV 19:07 → ATL 20:34DL 3112	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 22:48 → IAH 23:57DL 1601	5h 50m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	SAV 11:23 → DTW 13:34DL 1119	2h 25m Detroit	DTW 15:59 → IAH 17:49DL 1718	7h 26m	99%	86%
American Details →	SAV 07:01 → DFW 08:50AA 2435	1h 21m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:11 → IAH 11:26AA 3829 · flown by Envoy	5h 25m	95%	85%
Delta Details →	SAV 12:38 → ATL 13:54DL 3054	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → IAH 17:31DL 1131	5h 53m	99%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON