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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2574 at 17:16, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2574 Delta Flight history → SAV 17:16 MSP 19:15 11% 4% 0.6% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090 6h 51m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → SAV 08:10 → ATL 09:18DL 686 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901 6h 40m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → SAV 05:55 → LGA 08:15DL 5457 · flown by Endeavor 2h 55m New York LGA 11:10 → MSP 13:10DL 2409 8h 15m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:07DL 2825 7h 04m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → SAV 07:17 → JFK 09:29DL 5032 · flown by Endeavor 2h 06m New York JFK 11:35 → MSP 13:50DL 2414 7h 33m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702 51m Atlanta ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960 4h 35m 95% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAV 12:38 → ATL 13:54DL 3054 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 17:38 → MSP 19:15DL 2981 7h 37m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAV 19:07 → ATL 20:34DL 3112 2h 26m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310 6h 32m 97% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON