tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 20–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 327 Alaska Flight history → SEA 09:50 ABQ 13:53 20% 3% 0.6% 86%
AS 719 Alaska SEA 18:30 ABQ 22:24 21% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h ahead of Seattle). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SEA 11:09 → SLC 14:15DL 1265 3h 10m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest 7h 03m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → SEA 00:02 → ATL 07:45DL 652 1h 20m Atlanta ATL 09:05 → ABQ 10:12DL 1004 9h 10m 96% 89%
DeltaDetails → SEA 15:10 → LAX 17:51DL 2830 2h 56m Los Angeles LAX 20:47 → ABQ 23:48DL 4098 · flown by SkyWest 7h 38m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SEA 10:05 → LAX 12:55DL 2769 2h 05m Los Angeles LAX 15:00 → ABQ 18:07DL 4091 · flown by SkyWest 7h 02m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → SEA 05:05 → DFW 11:02AA 2748 2h 06m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:08 → ABQ 13:52AA 3777 · flown by Envoy 7h 47m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → SEA 15:48 → DEN 19:23UA 757 2h 13m Denver DEN 21:36 → ABQ 23:08UA 5880 · flown by SkyWest 6h 20m 96% 87%
UnitedDetails → SEA 05:00 → DEN 08:43UA 2601 2h 37m Denver DEN 11:20 → ABQ 12:46UA 476 6h 46m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → SEA 07:04 → SFO 09:06UA 499 2h 59m San Francisco SFO 12:05 → ABQ 15:40UA 1597 7h 36m 99% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SEA 08:58 → DEN 12:45UA 1505 48m Denver DEN 13:33 → ABQ 14:59UA 1594 5h 01m 74% 65%
AmericanDetails → SEA 13:44 → ORD 20:11AA 2966 50m Chicago ORD 21:01 → ABQ 23:23AA 2159 8h 39m 71% 57%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON