tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 00:02, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 68% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 338 Delta Flight history → SEA 13:00 FLL 21:52 17% 8% 0.7% 75%
AS 516 Alaska Flight history → SEA 08:23 FLL 17:27 30% 6% 0.8% 83%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SEA 00:03 → MSP 05:11DL 953 3h 39m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673 10h 22m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → SEA 00:02 → ATL 07:45DL 652 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 9h 21m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → SEA 09:45 → DTW 17:04DL 2324 3h 40m Detroit DTW 20:44 → FLL 23:42DL 2296 10h 57m 100% 83%
UnitedDetails → SEA 05:00 → DEN 08:43UA 2601 1h 11m Denver DEN 09:54 → FLL 16:00UA 1214 8h 00m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → SEA 11:59 → ATL 20:04DL 554 2h 41m Atlanta ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229 9h 40m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → SEA 08:59 → ATL 16:59DL 560 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489 9h 57m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → SEA 05:30 → SLC 08:30DL 1128 2h 15m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → FLL 17:28DL 745 8h 58m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → SEA 07:05 → IAH 13:31UA 2135 3h 16m Houston IAH 16:47 → FLL 20:34UA 277 10h 29m 98% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SEA 08:59 → ATL 16:59DL 560 46m Atlanta ATL 17:45 → FLL 19:43DL 1670 7h 44m 68% 51%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON