tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, AS 2117 at 09:05, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AS 2117 Alaska flown by Horizon Flight history → SEA 09:05 ICT 14:36 18% 6% 1.0% 87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Wichita on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Wichita is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SEA 00:26 → ATL 08:15DL 652 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 11:14 → ICT 12:32DL 828 10h 06m 100% 93%
UnitedDetails → SEA 05:00 → DEN 08:43UA 2601 1h 12m Denver DEN 09:55 → ICT 12:27UA 5497 · flown by SkyWest 5h 27m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → SEA 06:00 → ATL 13:53DL 569 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 16:31 → ICT 17:47DL 2128 9h 47m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → SEA 15:49 → DEN 19:24UA 757 1h 45m Denver DEN 21:09 → ICT 23:44UA 4755 · flown by SkyWest 5h 55m 95% 88%
DeltaDetails → SEA 06:05 → MSP 11:24DL 943 1h 56m Minneapolis MSP 13:20 → ICT 15:11DL 3807 · flown by SkyWest 7h 06m 97% 87%
AmericanDetails → SEA 12:06 → DFW 18:11AA 767 3h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:25 → ICT 22:55AA 5086 · flown by PSA 8h 49m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → SEA 08:58 → DEN 12:45UA 1505 1h 14m Denver DEN 13:59 → ICT 16:34UA 5454 · flown by SkyWest 5h 36m 90% 82%
AmericanDetails → SEA 05:05 → DFW 11:02AA 2748 3h 25m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:27 → ICT 16:02AA 2304 8h 57m 99% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON