Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, OO 3122 at 08:02, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


OO 3122 SkyWest	SEA 08:02	JAC 11:04	18%	6%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h ahead of Seattle). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SEA 05:30 → SLC 08:30DL 1128	2h 40m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:10 → JAC 12:15DL 2282	5h 45m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	SEA 09:30 → SLC 12:36DL 1016	3h 09m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:45 → JAC 16:52DL 509	6h 22m	99%	88%
United Details →	SEA 05:00 → DEN 08:43UA 2601	2h 32m Denver	DEN 11:15 → JAC 12:46UA 2193	6h 46m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SEA 13:30 → SLC 16:40DL 1120	1h 50m Salt Lake City	SLC 18:30 → JAC 19:37DL 4025 · flown by SkyWest	5h 07m	96%	86%
United Details →	SEA 08:58 → DEN 12:45UA 1505	3h 35m Denver	DEN 16:20 → JAC 17:53UA 2200	7h 55m	96%	79%
American Details →	SEA 05:05 → DFW 11:02AA 2748	2h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:12 → JAC 14:59AA 1883	8h 54m	98%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON