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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 00:02, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Orlando on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 64% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 328 Delta Flight history → SEA 08:51 MCO 17:35 22% 6% 2.3% 75%
AS 346 Alaska Flight history → SEA 08:26 MCO 16:52 28% 6% 4.4% 88%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SEA 00:02 → ATL 07:45DL 652 1h 40m Atlanta ATL 09:25 → MCO 10:57DL 1658 7h 55m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → SEA 00:03 → MSP 05:11DL 953 49m Minneapolis MSP 06:00 → MCO 10:07DL 1730 7h 04m 87% 82%
UnitedDetails → SEA 05:00 → DEN 08:43UA 2601 1h 27m Denver DEN 10:10 → MCO 16:04UA 2354 8h 04m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → SEA 07:20 → ATL 15:17DL 562 2h 43m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → MCO 19:48DL 2035 9h 28m 95% 78%
UnitedDetails → SEA 07:04 → SFO 09:06UA 499 3h 34m San Francisco SFO 12:40 → MCO 21:14UA 1939 11h 10m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → SEA 07:05 → IAH 13:31UA 2135 3h 38m Houston IAH 17:09 → MCO 20:48UA 1571 10h 43m 98% 78%
DeltaDetails → SEA 05:30 → SLC 08:30DL 1128 1h 05m Salt Lake City SLC 09:35 → MCO 16:13DL 2032 7h 43m 97% 77%
DeltaDetails → SEA 06:05 → MSP 11:24DL 943 1h 21m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → MCO 17:04DL 2225 7h 59m 97% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SEA 10:22 → DFW 16:30AA 707 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:18 → MCO 21:10AA 2974 7h 48m 64% 42%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON