tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 5289 United flown by SkyWest Flight history → SFO 18:41 ABQ 22:17 8% 3% 0.6% 89%
UA 1597 United SFO 12:05 ABQ 15:40 14% 5% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SFO 14:20 → DEN 18:11UA 1596 3h 25m Denver DEN 21:36 → ABQ 23:08UA 5880 · flown by SkyWest 7h 48m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → SFO 05:00 → DEN 08:35UA 1479 2h 45m Denver DEN 11:20 → ABQ 12:46UA 476 6h 46m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → SFO 05:00 → IAH 10:55UA 2168 1h 09m Houston IAH 12:04 → ABQ 13:27UA 6345 · flown by Mesa 7h 27m 96% 83%
UnitedDetails → SFO 12:15 → IAH 18:27UA 1387 1h 58m Houston IAH 20:25 → ABQ 21:44UA 1381 8h 29m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → SFO 13:24 → SLC 16:18DL 902 1h 07m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest 4h 48m 88% 83%
DeltaDetails → SFO 18:07 → LAX 19:32DL 1559 1h 15m Los Angeles LAX 20:47 → ABQ 23:48DL 4098 · flown by SkyWest 4h 41m 90% 81%
AmericanDetails → SFO 06:45 → DFW 12:29AA 2305 2h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:29 → ABQ 15:27AA 3053 7h 42m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → SFO 12:43 → DEN 16:35UA 540 2h 45m Denver DEN 19:20 → ABQ 20:44UA 484 7h 01m 97% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON