tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: United via Denver, leaving 05:00, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Columbus on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 1329 United SFO 08:25 CMH 16:12 9% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SFO 00:01 → EWR 08:46UA 2416 1h 52m Newark EWR 10:38 → CMH 12:33UA 3638 · flown by Republic 9h 32m 98% 92%
DeltaDetails → SFO 06:00 → ATL 13:44DL 570 3h 41m Atlanta ATL 17:25 → CMH 19:03DL 2786 10h 03m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → SFO 06:00 → MSP 11:36DL 2178 3h 59m Minneapolis MSP 15:35 → CMH 18:28DL 2113 9h 28m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → SFO 06:04 → ORD 12:31AA 2614 3h 58m Chicago ORD 16:29 → CMH 18:52AA 3542 · flown by Envoy 9h 48m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → SFO 07:10 → BOS 15:55DL 400 3h 30m Boston BOS 19:25 → CMH 21:50DL 5629 · flown by Republic 11h 40m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → SFO 06:05 → ORD 12:41UA 2091 1h 37m Chicago ORD 14:18 → CMH 16:53UA 1069 7h 48m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → SFO 06:00 → PHL 14:35AA 2161 3h 30m Philadelphia PHL 18:05 → CMH 19:53AA 320 10h 53m 100% 86%
AmericanDetails → SFO 06:21 → CLT 14:31AA 3082 1h 59m Charlotte CLT 16:30 → CMH 18:01AA 1120 8h 40m 98% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON