tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, OO 5822 at 19:55, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
OO 5822 SkyWest SFO 19:55 GEG 22:09 12% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AlaskaDetails → SFO 06:03 → SEA 08:13AS 620 1h 42m Seattle SEA 09:55 → GEG 11:00AS 2200 · flown by Horizon 4h 57m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → SFO 05:50 → SLC 08:40DL 1331 2h 50m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452 6h 22m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → SFO 05:00 → DEN 08:35UA 1479 2h 40m Denver DEN 11:15 → GEG 12:37UA 295 7h 37m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → SFO 09:55 → SLC 12:44DL 920 2h 41m Salt Lake City SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503 6h 13m 99% 86%
AmericanDetails → SFO 05:50 → PHX 08:01AA 6404 · flown by SkyWest 2h 03m Phoenix PHX 10:04 → GEG 13:06AA 540 7h 16m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → SFO 13:30 → SEA 15:47DL 1412 2h 12m Seattle SEA 17:59 → GEG 19:15DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest 5h 45m 97% 84%
AlaskaDetails → SFO 07:20 → PDX 09:02AS 1410 1h 28m Portland PDX 10:30 → GEG 11:45AS 250 4h 25m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → SFO 09:20 → LAX 10:53DL 1421 2h 07m Los Angeles LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest 6h 15m 98% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → SFO 15:50 → SEA 18:00AS 1340 51m Seattle SEA 18:51 → GEG 19:57AS 448 4h 07m 70% 51%
AlaskaDetails → SFO 10:18 → SEA 12:27AS 656 1h 08m Seattle SEA 13:35 → GEG 14:38AS 2349 · flown by Horizon 4h 20m 65% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON