tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 4901 American flown by SkyWest Flight history → SHV 06:54 CLT 10:16 9% 3% 0.7% 79%
OH 5303 PSA SHV 12:38 CLT 16:03 13% 5% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Shreveport). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SHV 06:00 → ATL 09:00DL 3504 · flown by SkyWest 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157 6h 31m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → SHV 12:59 → ATL 15:55DL 3507 · flown by SkyWest 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → CLT 20:11DL 2132 6h 12m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SHV 17:16 → ATL 20:13DL 4111 · flown by SkyWest 2h 28m Atlanta ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177 5h 42m 97% 88%
AmericanDetails → SHV 10:08 → DFW 11:24AA 4009 · flown by Envoy 3h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:44 → CLT 18:37AA 3227 7h 29m 100% 85%
AmericanDetails → SHV 06:00 → DFW 07:10AA 6419 · flown by SkyWest 2h 52m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:02 → CLT 13:49AA 2493 6h 49m 94% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON