Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


OO 5509 SkyWest	SHV 16:34	DEN 18:27	10%	4%	0.5%	no record
UA 5561 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SHV 08:45	DEN 10:19	11%	4%	0.5%	82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Shreveport). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SHV 06:00 → ATL 09:00DL 3504 · flown by SkyWest	3h 55m Atlanta	ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957	9h 00m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	SHV 12:59 → ATL 15:55DL 3507 · flown by SkyWest	3h 30m Atlanta	ATL 19:25 → DEN 20:43DL 746	8h 44m	99%	89%
American Details →	SHV 06:54 → CLT 10:16AA 4901 · flown by SkyWest	2h 59m Charlotte	CLT 13:15 → DEN 14:51AA 696	8h 57m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	SHV 10:28 → ATL 13:21DL 5302 · flown by Endeavor	3h 22m Atlanta	ATL 16:43 → DEN 17:56DL 519	8h 28m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	SHV 07:46 → ATL 10:38DL 4117 · flown by SkyWest	3h 17m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → DEN 14:58DL 530	8h 12m	96%	87%
United Details →	SHV 15:35 → IAH 16:50UA 5837 · flown by SkyWest	3h 37m Houston	IAH 20:27 → DEN 21:46UA 685	7h 11m	99%	83%
American Details →	SHV 10:08 → DFW 11:24AA 4009 · flown by Envoy	1h 53m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:17 → DEN 14:21AA 420	5h 13m	100%	80%
American Details →	SHV 06:00 → DFW 07:10AA 6419 · flown by SkyWest	3h 31m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:41 → DEN 11:46AA 2359	6h 46m	94%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON