Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 85% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SJC 06:00 → SLC 08:55DL 1314	1h 50m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → FLL 17:28DL 745	8h 28m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	SJC 07:20 → SEA 09:42DL 4041 · flown by SkyWest	3h 18m Seattle	SEA 13:00 → FLL 21:52DL 338	11h 32m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	SJC 12:40 → ATL 20:29DL 809	2h 16m Atlanta	ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229	8h 59m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	SJC 06:35 → ATL 14:15DL 654	3h 30m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → FLL 19:43DL 1670	10h 08m	99%	80%
American Details →	SJC 06:01 → DFW 11:46AA 1019	1h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:46 → FLL 16:54AA 1373	7h 53m	94%	78%
American Details →	SJC 12:03 → DFW 17:45AA 2046	3h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:05 → FLL 01:14 +1AA 1847	10h 11m	97%	76%
Delta Details →	SJC 20:25 → LAX 22:00DL 3883 · flown by SkyWest	59m Los Angeles	LAX 22:59 → FLL 07:05 +1DL 477	7h 40m	92%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON