Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, AA 783 at 15:40, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 783 American Flight history →	SJU 15:40	CLT 19:39	13%	3%	0.8%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SJU 07:30 → ATL 11:14DL 1763	1h 06m Atlanta	ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157	6h 01m	96%	89%
United Details →	SJU 07:00 → IAH 10:53UA 1644	1h 20m Houston	IAH 12:13 → CLT 15:43UA 765	8h 43m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	SJU 17:50 → ATL 21:49DL 1946	52m Atlanta	ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177	6h 08m	90%	82%
Delta Details →	SJU 14:08 → BOS 18:19DL 1780	1h 21m Boston	BOS 19:40 → CLT 22:20DL 5807 · flown by Republic	8h 12m	92%	81%
American Details →	SJU 05:52 → MIA 08:52AA 3089	1h 14m Miami	MIA 10:06 → CLT 12:13AA 1398	6h 21m	94%	81%
American Details →	SJU 16:33 → MIA 19:24AA 967	2h 05m Miami	MIA 21:29 → CLT 23:37AA 2231	7h 04m	90%	71%
United Details →	SJU 13:25 → EWR 17:39UA 1173	1h 40m Newark	EWR 19:19 → CLT 21:23UA 1168	7h 58m	92%	71%
American Details →	SJU 11:54 → MIA 14:44AA 1341	1h 17m Miami	MIA 16:01 → CLT 18:22AA 985	6h 28m	94%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON