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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 07:30, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 1368 United Flight history → SJU 13:40 DEN 18:15 10% 3% 0.7% 87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind San Juan). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → SJU 07:30 → ATL 11:14DL 1763 1h 41m Atlanta ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957 8h 30m 99% 90%
JetBlueDetails → SJU 05:01 → JFK 08:54B6 2904 3h 14m New York JFK 12:08 → DEN 14:25B6 1497 11h 24m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → SJU 01:00 → EWR 05:10UA 2219 2h 42m Newark EWR 07:52 → DEN 10:12UA 1758 11h 12m 96% 87%
UnitedDetails → SJU 07:00 → IAH 10:53UA 1644 1h 40m Houston IAH 12:33 → DEN 14:17UA 2168 9h 17m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → SJU 16:55 → IAD 20:56UA 2024 1h 27m Dulles IAD 22:23 → DEN 00:30 +1UA 495 9h 35m 95% 86%
UnitedDetails → SJU 13:25 → EWR 17:39UA 1173 3h 29m Newark EWR 21:08 → DEN 23:16UA 1197 11h 51m 97% 80%
UnitedDetails → SJU 15:56 → ORD 20:15UA 2088 1h 38m Chicago ORD 21:53 → DEN 23:28UA 767 9h 32m 96% 80%
UnitedDetails → SJU 14:55 → IAH 18:51UA 668 1h 36m Houston IAH 20:27 → DEN 21:46UA 685 8h 51m 96% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON