Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 14:42, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching White Plains on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SJU 14:42 → ATL 18:36DL 1882	1h 23m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	7h 43m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	SJU 07:30 → ATL 11:14DL 1763	57m Atlanta	ATL 12:11 → HPN 14:42DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	7h 12m	95%	86%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 04:56 → MCO 08:01B6 234	1h 11m Orlando	MCO 09:12 → HPN 11:59B6 94	7h 03m	92%	75%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 14:28 → FLL 17:20B6 1454	1h 42m Fort Lauderdale	FLL 19:02 → HPN 22:10B6 914	7h 42m	88%	69%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 14:45 → MCO 18:02B6 934	2h 16m Orlando	MCO 20:18 → HPN 23:15B6 1694	8h 30m	95%	63%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON