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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–5% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 124 SkyWest SLC 09:38 ABQ 11:32 3% 2% 0.4% no record
DL 3726 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 17:25 ABQ 19:12 5% 2% 0.4% 92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 1h 14m Denver DEN 08:08 → ABQ 09:33UA 1733 4h 18m 98% 92%
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 2h 09m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:55 → ABQ 11:56AA 3586 · flown by Envoy 6h 56m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 06m Denver DEN 13:33 → ABQ 14:59UA 1594 6h 29m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829 2h 33m Los Angeles LAX 15:00 → ABQ 18:07DL 4091 · flown by SkyWest 6h 37m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → SLC 07:03 → DFW 10:45AA 644 2h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:08 → ABQ 13:52AA 3777 · flown by Envoy 6h 49m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232 2h 38m Denver DEN 11:20 → ABQ 12:46UA 476 5h 46m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 1h 07m Houston IAH 12:04 → ABQ 13:27UA 6345 · flown by Mesa 6h 42m 96% 83%
AmericanDetails → SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest 52m Phoenix PHX 08:49 → ABQ 11:20AA 1352 4h 07m 89% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON