tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2855 at 17:25, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2855 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:25 CLE 22:58 11% 3% 0.4% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 00:03 → BOS 06:38DL 696 1h 52m Boston BOS 08:30 → CLE 10:35DL 5674 · flown by Republic 8h 32m 99% 93%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Denver DEN 09:40 → CLE 14:36UA 619 7h 21m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 20:40 → CLE 22:35DL 1339 9h 30m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 16:51 → CLE 18:41DL 1350 8h 31m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936 3h 19m Minneapolis MSP 20:51 → CLE 23:44DL 1392 7h 44m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835 3h 43m Atlanta ATL 19:22 → CLE 21:15DL 2150 9h 20m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 28m Denver DEN 13:55 → CLE 18:53UA 2476 8h 23m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:00 → ORD 12:20UA 1502 2h 00m Chicago ORD 14:20 → CLE 16:54UA 1502 6h 54m 97% 87%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SLC 16:11 → ORD 20:24UA 1963 56m Chicago ORD 21:20 → CLE 23:49UA 457 5h 38m 74% 63%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON