Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2070 Delta Flight history →	SLC 10:55	CLT 16:52	11%	2%	0.7%	88%
AA 1895 American	SLC 13:22	CLT 19:31	16%	5%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	SLC 19:09 → PHX 19:50AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest	3h 37m Phoenix	PHX 23:27 → CLT 06:41 +1AA 2821	9h 32m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	3h 19m Atlanta	ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177	8h 23m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	SLC 00:03 → BOS 06:38DL 696	3h 27m Boston	BOS 10:05 → CLT 12:35DL 5630 · flown by Republic	10h 32m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	2h 42m Minneapolis	MSP 20:14 → CLT 23:44DL 2929	7h 44m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916	3h 01m Minneapolis	MSP 14:30 → CLT 18:02DL 2820	8h 02m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835	2h 21m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → CLT 19:21DL 3158	7h 26m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289	2h 41m Detroit	DTW 14:05 → CLT 15:55DL 1429	7h 55m	99%	86%
American Details →	SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest	2h 00m Phoenix	PHX 09:57 → CLT 17:15AA 665	8h 02m	98%	85%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	SLC 13:50 → DTW 19:15DL 2244	50m Detroit	DTW 20:05 → CLT 21:57DL 2352	6h 07m	75%	64%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON