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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 3788 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 20:59 COS 22:41 5% 2% 0.5% 91%
DL 4449 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 15:51 COS 17:35 6% 3% 0.5% 92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 51m Denver DEN 09:45 → COS 10:46UA 5306 · flown by SkyWest 5h 31m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 03m Denver DEN 13:30 → COS 14:27UA 4775 · flown by SkyWest 5h 57m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232 2h 58m Denver DEN 11:40 → COS 12:24UA 738 5h 24m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:00 → DEN 14:46UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest 2h 09m Denver DEN 16:55 → COS 17:52UA 5308 · flown by SkyWest 4h 52m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → SLC 14:28 → DEN 16:11UA 1662 3h 19m Denver DEN 19:30 → COS 20:26UA 5669 · flown by SkyWest 5h 58m 98% 80%
AmericanDetails → SLC 08:00 → DFW 11:47AA 2195 1h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:35 → COS 14:40AA 1170 6h 40m 97% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON