tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: United via Denver, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 83% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 745 Delta Flight history → SLC 10:45 FLL 17:28 12% 2% 0.7% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest 1h 26m San Francisco SFO 08:45 → FLL 17:36UA 2431 9h 31m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 3h 00m Denver DEN 09:54 → FLL 16:00UA 1214 8h 45m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:50 → SEA 09:02DL 2874 3h 58m Seattle SEA 13:00 → FLL 21:52DL 338 12h 02m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 28m Denver DEN 13:55 → FLL 19:59UA 1384 9h 29m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 1h 44m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:30 → FLL 14:39AA 1390 7h 39m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489 8h 51m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 1h 07m Houston IAH 12:04 → FLL 15:47UA 1982 7h 02m 96% 82%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:00 → DEN 14:46UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest 2h 59m Denver DEN 17:45 → FLL 23:49UA 1374 8h 49m 99% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON