Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 4052 at 13:13, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 4052 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 13:13	LIT 17:10	6%	3%	0.6%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Little Rock on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Little Rock is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	1h 56m Atlanta	ATL 14:40 → LIT 15:12DL 3027	7h 12m	98%	91%
American Details →	SLC 13:28 → ORD 17:35AA 3258	2h 24m Chicago	ORD 19:59 → LIT 21:59AA 3561 · flown by Envoy	7h 31m	100%	90%
American Details →	SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214	2h 49m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:35 → LIT 12:59AA 3898 · flown by Envoy	6h 59m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	3h 18m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → LIT 23:14DL 2083	8h 39m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	3h 26m Atlanta	ATL 17:20 → LIT 17:55DL 3025	8h 45m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 18:02 → LIT 18:42DL 2061	7h 47m	99%	89%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	2h 53m Denver	DEN 13:20 → LIT 16:42UA 5760 · flown by SkyWest	7h 12m	99%	89%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	2h 41m Denver	DEN 09:35 → LIT 12:52UA 5369 · flown by SkyWest	6h 37m	99%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON