Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2100 at 09:25, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2100 Delta Flight history →	SLC 09:25	MSY 13:47	6%	2%	0.6%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 15:23 → MSY 15:57DL 3146	7h 57m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916	1h 16m Minneapolis	MSP 12:45 → MSY 15:25DL 2695	6h 25m	98%	89%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	3h 00m Denver	DEN 13:27 → MSY 17:15UA 250	7h 45m	99%	89%
United Details →	SLC 09:46 → IAD 16:13UA 1322	1h 54m Dulles	IAD 18:07 → MSY 19:58UA 251	9h 12m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835	2h 18m Atlanta	ATL 17:57 → MSY 18:34DL 678	7h 39m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	3h 48m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → MSY 23:43DL 2224	9h 08m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 19:54 → MSY 20:28DL 1450	8h 23m	99%	88%
United Details →	SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366	58m Houston	IAH 11:55 → MSY 13:14UA 2385	5h 29m	95%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON