tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 1188 at 10:45, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 1188 Delta Flight history → SLC 10:45 PIT 16:30 6% 2% 0.6% 89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:50 → DTW 19:15DL 2244 3h 31m Detroit DTW 22:46 → PIT 23:57DL 5369 · flown by Endeavor 8h 07m 99% 94%
AmericanDetails → SLC 13:28 → ORD 17:35AA 3258 3h 05m Chicago ORD 20:40 → PIT 23:22AA 4527 · flown by Republic 7h 54m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → SLC 00:03 → BOS 06:38DL 696 1h 37m Boston BOS 08:15 → PIT 10:19DL 5678 · flown by Republic 8h 16m 98% 93%
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289 3h 09m Detroit DTW 14:33 → PIT 15:44DL 4640 · flown by Endeavor 7h 44m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916 2h 05m Minneapolis MSP 13:34 → PIT 16:39DL 4971 · flown by Endeavor 6h 39m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 3h 42m Atlanta ATL 23:04 → PIT 00:50 +1DL 1351 9h 15m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 1h 24m Atlanta ATL 14:08 → PIT 15:50DL 1353 6h 50m 98% 91%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 3h 11m Denver DEN 10:05 → PIT 15:16UA 1308 8h 01m 100% 91%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SLC 16:11 → ORD 20:24UA 1963 56m Chicago ORD 21:20 → PIT 23:59UA 3464 · flown by Republic 5h 48m 71% 66%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON