Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 3892 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 12:24	PSC 13:09	6%	2%	0.4%	89%
DL 3728 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 15:52	PSC 16:38	6%	3%	0.4%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pasco is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	SLC 11:17 → SEA 12:30AS 796	3h 58m Seattle	SEA 16:28 → PSC 17:27AS 2367 · flown by Horizon	7h 10m	99%	80%
Alaska Details →	SLC 12:33 → PDX 13:38AS 3430 · flown by SkyWest	53m Portland	PDX 14:31 → PSC 15:22AS 2475 · flown by Horizon	3h 49m	93%	77%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:50 → SEA 09:02DL 2874	1h 33m Seattle	SEA 10:35 → PSC 11:43DL 3992 · flown by SkyWest	4h 53m	95%	76%
Delta Details →	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	53m Minneapolis	MSP 18:25 → PSC 19:45DL 762	6h 45m	86%	74%
Alaska Details →	SLC 06:56 → SEA 08:06AS 3344 · flown by SkyWest	46m Seattle	SEA 08:52 → PSC 09:53AS 2195 · flown by Horizon	3h 57m	76%	68%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:35 → SEA 12:49DL 2995	51m Seattle	SEA 13:40 → PSC 14:54DL 3891 · flown by SkyWest	4h 19m	76%	60%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON