tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–5% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4042 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 10:45 PSP 11:41 3% 2% 0.5% 99%
DL 3852 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 15:40 PSP 16:33 5% 2% 0.5% 88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Palm Springs is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest 1h 17m San Francisco SFO 08:36 → PSP 10:19UA 717 5h 14m 98% 90%
UnitedDetails → SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232 2h 39m Denver DEN 11:21 → PSP 12:42UA 687 6h 42m 99% 87%
AlaskaDetails → SLC 12:34 → PDX 13:38AS 3430 · flown by SkyWest 3h 58m Portland PDX 17:36 → PSP 20:14AS 3022 · flown by SkyWest 8h 40m 100% 84%
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 2h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:47 → PSP 12:02AA 2548 8h 02m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest 2h 35m Phoenix PHX 10:32 → PSP 11:50AA 1884 5h 37m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:00 → DEN 14:46UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest 1h 01m Denver DEN 15:47 → PSP 17:12UA 5469 · flown by SkyWest 5h 12m 96% 82%
AlaskaDetails → SLC 15:28 → SEA 16:27AS 734 3h 42m Seattle SEA 20:09 → PSP 22:39AS 1498 8h 11m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → SLC 14:28 → DEN 16:11UA 1662 3h 06m Denver DEN 19:17 → PSP 20:35UA 2644 7h 07m 97% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON