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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 3756 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 23:07 RDM 23:58 3% 1% 0.6% 95%
DL 3727 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 10:45 RDM 11:35 3% 2% 0.5% 92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Redmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Redmond is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → SLC 17:20 → SEA 18:33DL 871 3h 02m Seattle SEA 21:35 → RDM 22:57DL 4047 · flown by SkyWest 6h 37m 98% 90%
AlaskaDetails → SLC 12:33 → PDX 13:38AS 3430 · flown by SkyWest 52m Portland PDX 14:30 → RDM 15:20AS 2173 · flown by Horizon 3h 47m 93% 88%
UnitedDetails → SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232 2h 33m Denver DEN 11:15 → RDM 12:53UA 2082 6h 53m 99% 88%
AlaskaDetails → SLC 19:27 → PDX 20:32AS 3308 · flown by SkyWest 1h 23m Portland PDX 21:55 → RDM 22:45AS 2057 · flown by Horizon 4h 18m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:20 → SEA 14:35DL 2921 2h 50m Seattle SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest 6h 23m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:50 → SEA 09:02DL 2874 2h 20m Seattle SEA 11:22 → RDM 12:45DL 3735 · flown by SkyWest 5h 55m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → SLC 14:28 → DEN 16:11UA 1662 3h 18m Denver DEN 19:29 → RDM 21:05UA 1588 7h 37m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest 3h 09m San Francisco SFO 10:28 → RDM 12:12UA 2153 7h 07m 100% 77%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON