Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 2264 American Flight history →	SRQ 07:38	CLT 09:29	8%	3%	1.6%	92%
AA 1452 American Flight history →	SRQ 12:58	CLT 14:58	15%	5%	1.3%	78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SRQ 06:00 → ATL 07:39DL 1499	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → CLT 11:26DL 3190	5h 26m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	SRQ 07:04 → ATL 08:45DL 1445	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157	6h 27m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	SRQ 17:37 → ATL 19:19DL 3115	3h 22m Atlanta	ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177	6h 21m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	SRQ 13:21 → ATL 15:03DL 3104	3h 56m Atlanta	ATL 18:59 → CLT 20:10DL 2132	6h 49m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SRQ 11:01 → ATL 12:41DL 3196	2h 19m Atlanta	ATL 15:00 → CLT 16:17DL 3031	5h 16m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	SRQ 14:30 → LGA 17:30DL 2412	2h 10m New York	LGA 19:40 → CLT 21:38DL 5705 · flown by Republic	7h 08m	94%	83%
American Details →	SRQ 12:07 → DCA 14:43AA 2584	3h 07m Washington	DCA 17:50 → CLT 19:37AA 2182	7h 30m	95%	80%
American Details →	SRQ 07:51 → MIA 09:01AA 4139 · flown by Envoy	1h 05m Miami	MIA 10:06 → CLT 12:13AA 1398	4h 22m	90%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON