tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4500 Southwest STL 08:27 MKE 09:46 3% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 178 Southwest STL 18:46 MKE 20:04 10% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → STL 06:00 → ATL 08:38DL 1524 2h 13m Atlanta ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151 5h 53m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → STL 07:08 → ATL 09:45DL 1536 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246 6h 42m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → STL 08:49 → MSP 10:30DL 5325 · flown by Endeavor 3h 24m Minneapolis MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006 6h 20m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → STL 06:21 → MSP 07:56DL 1597 2h 09m Minneapolis MSP 10:05 → MKE 11:17DL 561 4h 56m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → STL 09:24 → ATL 12:02DL 1571 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 15:29 → MKE 16:31DL 1206 7h 07m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → STL 16:55 → ATL 19:46DL 543 3h 06m Atlanta ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268 7h 01m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → STL 13:22 → ATL 16:07DL 566 3h 49m Atlanta ATL 19:56 → MKE 21:05DL 2388 7h 43m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → STL 10:19 → DTW 12:53DL 2868 2h 57m Detroit DTW 15:50 → MKE 16:02DL 1343 5h 43m 99% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON