tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 383 Southwest STL 08:25 OMA 09:48 2% 1% 0.4% no record
WN 2087 Southwest STL 20:50 OMA 22:12 11% 3% 0.4% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → STL 06:00 → ATL 08:38DL 1524 2h 48m Atlanta ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:45DL 1125 6h 45m 99% 92%
AmericanDetails → STL 04:59 → ORD 06:28AA 1926 1h 53m Chicago ORD 08:21 → OMA 10:11AA 4042 · flown by Envoy 5h 12m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → STL 06:21 → MSP 07:56DL 1597 2h 43m Minneapolis MSP 10:39 → OMA 11:57DL 3838 · flown by SkyWest 5h 36m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → STL 13:54 → DTW 16:30DL 1371 3h 15m Detroit DTW 19:45 → OMA 20:53DL 3715 · flown by SkyWest 6h 59m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → STL 10:19 → DTW 12:53DL 2868 3h 07m Detroit DTW 16:00 → OMA 17:10DL 3889 · flown by SkyWest 6h 51m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → STL 16:55 → ATL 19:46DL 543 2h 42m Atlanta ATL 22:28 → OMA 23:49DL 2010 6h 54m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → STL 10:51 → ATL 13:25DL 1400 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364 6h 57m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → STL 06:30 → DTW 09:04DL 1626 3h 11m Detroit DTW 12:15 → OMA 13:22DL 3762 · flown by SkyWest 6h 52m 98% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON