tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3884 Southwest STL 10:12 RSW 13:43 8% 2% 1.2% no record
WN 4074 Southwest STL 19:01 RSW 22:30 10% 5% 1.2% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Myers is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → STL 06:00 → ATL 08:38DL 1524 1h 47m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 5h 11m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → STL 06:21 → MSP 07:56DL 1597 1h 09m Minneapolis MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400 6h 06m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → STL 07:08 → ATL 09:45DL 1536 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 6h 27m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → STL 06:00 → IAH 08:11UA 1371 1h 22m Houston IAH 09:33 → RSW 13:11UA 494 6h 11m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → STL 16:55 → ATL 19:46DL 543 2h 54m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217 6h 28m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → STL 07:20 → ORD 09:00UA 4423 · flown by GoJet 2h 05m Chicago ORD 11:05 → RSW 15:07UA 2137 6h 47m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → STL 09:24 → ATL 12:02DL 1571 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 6h 20m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → STL 07:32 → CLT 10:30AA 712 1h 29m Charlotte CLT 11:59 → RSW 14:08AA 2018 5h 36m 97% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON