tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4498 Southwest STL 08:44 SAT 10:52 4% 1% 0.4% no record
WN 4166 Southwest STL 20:41 SAT 22:51 8% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → STL 08:49 → MSP 10:30DL 5325 · flown by Endeavor 3h 50m Minneapolis MSP 14:20 → SAT 17:11DL 2580 8h 22m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → STL 06:00 → ATL 08:38DL 1524 3h 37m Atlanta ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408 7h 38m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → STL 06:00 → IAH 08:11UA 1371 1h 27m Houston IAH 09:38 → SAT 10:54UA 1371 4h 54m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → STL 09:06 → DEN 10:30UA 2459 3h 14m Denver DEN 13:44 → SAT 16:55UA 1022 7h 49m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → STL 06:21 → MSP 07:56DL 1597 1h 04m Minneapolis MSP 09:00 → SAT 11:49DL 2667 5h 28m 96% 86%
DeltaDetails → STL 07:08 → ATL 09:45DL 1536 4h 00m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → SAT 15:10DL 2009 8h 02m 98% 85%
AmericanDetails → STL 05:32 → DFW 07:30AA 2261 1h 25m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:55 → SAT 10:17AA 2759 4h 45m 97% 85%
UnitedDetails → STL 08:35 → IAH 10:50UA 4579 · flown by GoJet 3h 48m Houston IAH 14:38 → SAT 15:42UA 2030 7h 07m 100% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON