Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, OO 3032 at 14:02, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


OO 3032 SkyWest	STS 14:02	ONT 15:46	11%	6%	0.9%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Ontario on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	STS 13:10 → PHX 15:27AA 3757 · flown by Envoy	1h 22m Phoenix	PHX 16:49 → ONT 18:17AA 1666	5h 07m	100%	80%
American Details →	STS 12:45 → DFW 18:22AA 3766 · flown by Envoy	2h 57m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:19 → ONT 22:39AA 1695	9h 54m	100%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON