Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:21, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Nonstops that day


UA 513 United	SYR 08:12	DEN 10:10	5%	1%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 09:09 → DTW 10:39DL 5213 · flown by Endeavor	2h 03m Detroit	DTW 12:42 → DEN 13:45DL 1648	6h 36m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	1h 31m Atlanta	ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995	7h 05m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	SYR 05:12 → JFK 06:27DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor	2h 03m New York	JFK 08:30 → DEN 10:58DL 532	7h 46m	97%	89%
American Details →	SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235	3h 04m Charlotte	CLT 13:15 → DEN 14:51AA 696	8h 51m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091	46m Detroit	DTW 08:40 → DEN 09:47DL 1113	5h 26m	93%	86%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375	2h 00m Atlanta	ATL 16:43 → DEN 17:56DL 519	7h 36m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 19:25 → DEN 20:43DL 746	6h 57m	95%	84%
Delta Details →	SYR 13:29 → DTW 14:59DL 5533 · flown by Endeavor	1h 22m Detroit	DTW 16:21 → DEN 17:27DL 2431	5h 58m	96%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON