Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, AA 533 at 07:16, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 533 American Flight history →	SYR 07:16	DFW 09:50	5%	2%	0.7%	86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	1h 29m Atlanta	ATL 09:52 → DFW 11:12DL 961	6h 12m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 20:13 → DFW 21:35DL 3161	6h 49m	98%	89%
American Details →	SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235	2h 58m Charlotte	CLT 13:09 → DFW 14:54AA 1690	7h 54m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	SYR 18:54 → ATL 21:28DL 2690	1h 26m Atlanta	ATL 22:54 → DFW 00:13 +1DL 818	6h 19m	96%	87%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375	3h 00m Atlanta	ATL 17:43 → DFW 19:03DL 1827	7h 43m	99%	87%
American Details →	SYR 10:36 → BOS 11:55AA 4635 · flown by Republic	2h 44m Boston	BOS 14:39 → DFW 17:49AA 1442	8h 13m	99%	87%
American Details →	SYR 10:47 → PHL 12:04AA 5982 · flown by Piedmont	2h 56m Philadelphia	PHL 15:00 → DFW 17:50AA 402	8h 03m	96%	85%
American Details →	SYR 06:00 → PHL 07:20AA 6095 · flown by Piedmont	3h 30m Philadelphia	PHL 10:50 → DFW 13:27AA 3326	8h 27m	94%	85%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	SYR 10:30 → IAD 11:55UA 4840 · flown by CommuteAir	46m Dulles	IAD 12:41 → DFW 15:05UA 1564	5h 35m	73%	64%
American Details →	SYR 10:47 → PHL 12:04AA 5982 · flown by Piedmont	48m Philadelphia	PHL 12:52 → DFW 15:31AA 415	5h 44m	54%	48%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON