Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 23%, against 6% on a calm day. Safest: B6 2655 at 16:16, 23%.

Nonstops that day


B6 2655 JetBlue Flight history →	SYR 16:16	MCO 19:16	23%	9%	2.3%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 05:12 → JFK 06:27DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor	3h 26m New York	JFK 09:53 → MCO 12:51DL 2019	7h 39m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664	6h 00m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091	2h 41m Detroit	DTW 10:35 → MCO 13:08DL 1747	6h 47m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	SYR 09:09 → DTW 10:39DL 5213 · flown by Endeavor	1h 44m Detroit	DTW 12:23 → MCO 15:01DL 1123	5h 52m	99%	84%
American Details →	SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235	2h 18m Charlotte	CLT 12:29 → MCO 14:17AA 2117	6h 17m	98%	82%
JetBlue Details →	SYR 06:00 → JFK 07:12B6 1515	2h 57m New York	JFK 10:09 → MCO 12:59B6 183	6h 59m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	SYR 13:29 → DTW 14:59DL 5533 · flown by Endeavor	3h 38m Detroit	DTW 18:37 → MCO 21:13DL 1274	7h 44m	100%	79%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375	3h 17m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → MCO 19:48DL 2035	7h 28m	100%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON