Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2525 at 07:20, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2525 Delta	SYR 07:20	MSP 08:52	5%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091	3h 35m Detroit	DTW 11:29 → MSP 12:18DL 1746	6h 57m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	1h 32m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	6h 30m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	SYR 09:09 → DTW 10:39DL 5213 · flown by Endeavor	1h 41m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:10DL 2697	5h 01m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	SYR 05:12 → JFK 06:27DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor	48m New York	JFK 07:15 → MSP 09:25DL 2390	5h 13m	94%	88%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 17:38 → MSP 19:15DL 2981	7h 55m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SYR 18:54 → ATL 21:28DL 2690	1h 32m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310	6h 45m	97%	86%
American Details →	SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235	2h 11m Charlotte	CLT 12:22 → MSP 14:09AA 1671	7h 09m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	SYR 05:53 → LGA 07:09DL 5355 · flown by Endeavor	46m New York	LGA 07:55 → MSP 09:53DL 2473	5h 00m	87%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON