Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, B6 548 at 19:38, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 548 JetBlue Flight history →	TPA 19:38	HPN 22:31	19%	8%	3.9%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	TPA 07:45 → MSP 10:02DL 2263	3h 10m Minneapolis	MSP 13:12 → HPN 17:01DL 4680 · flown by Endeavor	9h 16m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	TPA 06:15 → ATL 07:50DL 1726	1h 49m Atlanta	ATL 09:39 → HPN 12:11DL 2973	5h 56m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	TPA 08:30 → DTW 11:08DL 808	3h 11m Detroit	DTW 14:19 → HPN 16:12DL 4658 · flown by Endeavor	7h 42m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	TPA 07:30 → ATL 09:07DL 1486	3h 04m Atlanta	ATL 12:11 → HPN 14:42DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	7h 12m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	TPA 15:18 → ATL 16:54DL 1525	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	7h 07m	97%	87%
American Details →	TPA 08:21 → ORD 10:26AA 354	2h 15m Chicago	ORD 12:41 → HPN 15:59AA 4200 · flown by Envoy	7h 38m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	TPA 11:14 → ATL 12:52DL 1227	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 15:47 → HPN 18:17DL 5013 · flown by Endeavor	7h 03m	100%	85%
American Details →	TPA 07:47 → CLT 09:35AA 1704	1h 31m Charlotte	CLT 11:06 → HPN 13:13AA 5180 · flown by PSA	5h 26m	94%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON