tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 989 Southwest TUL 07:49 BNA 09:27 4% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 3723 Southwest TUL 14:31 BNA 16:10 10% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → TUL 06:00 → ATL 09:04DL 1259 2h 17m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 5h 30m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → TUL 06:00 → DEN 07:00UA 5667 · flown by SkyWest 2h 44m Denver DEN 09:44 → BNA 13:27UA 355 7h 27m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → TUL 05:00 → IAH 06:43UA 4041 · flown by Mesa 57m Houston IAH 07:40 → BNA 09:47UA 2174 4h 47m 93% 86%
DeltaDetails → TUL 10:04 → ATL 13:05DL 2754 2h 08m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → BNA 15:26DL 3142 5h 22m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → TUL 07:00 → IAH 08:46UA 3984 · flown by Mesa 3h 09m Houston IAH 11:55 → BNA 14:02UA 1318 7h 02m 98% 85%
AmericanDetails → TUL 06:00 → DFW 07:33AA 1090 2h 29m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:02 → BNA 12:06AA 1396 6h 06m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → TUL 07:00 → CLT 10:30AA 1729 1h 29m Charlotte CLT 11:59 → BNA 12:28AA 2409 5h 28m 95% 84%
DeltaDetails → TUL 12:41 → ATL 15:45DL 2620 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 19:20 → BNA 19:38DL 1490 6h 57m 98% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → TUL 10:41 → DFW 12:04AA 2348 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:53 → BNA 14:59AA 1084 4h 18m 69% 55%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON