tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 4006 at 08:00, with a 2% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 4006 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → TUL 08:00 SLC 09:55 2% 2% 0.5% 90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Tulsa). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → TUL 05:00 → IAH 06:43UA 4041 · flown by Mesa 3h 12m Houston IAH 09:55 → SLC 12:23UA 2242 8h 23m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → TUL 06:00 → ATL 09:04DL 1259 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663 8h 50m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → TUL 10:04 → ATL 13:05DL 2754 2h 15m Atlanta ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526 8h 14m 100% 91%
UnitedDetails → TUL 06:00 → DEN 07:00UA 5667 · flown by SkyWest 1h 00m Denver DEN 08:00 → SLC 09:37UA 497 4h 37m 97% 90%
DeltaDetails → TUL 12:41 → ATL 15:45DL 2620 2h 15m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653 8h 21m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → TUL 17:10 → DEN 18:10UA 5914 · flown by SkyWest 2h 55m Denver DEN 21:05 → SLC 22:44UA 5646 · flown by SkyWest 6h 34m 98% 88%
AmericanDetails → TUL 06:00 → DFW 07:33AA 1090 1h 21m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:54 → SLC 10:55AA 1878 5h 55m 97% 87%
AmericanDetails → TUL 06:35 → ORD 08:48AA 3590 · flown by Envoy 1h 22m Chicago ORD 10:10 → SLC 12:34AA 3258 6h 59m 98% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → TUL 15:07 → SAN 16:15AS 2320 · flown by Horizon 1h 00m San Diego SAN 17:15 → SLC 20:16AS 3488 · flown by SkyWest 6h 09m 49% 41%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON