tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
G4 1094 Allegiant TYS 10:26 MCO 12:12 9% 6% 1.6% no record
WN 693 Southwest TYS 12:48 MCO 14:29 9% 4% 1.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → TYS 05:40 → ATL 06:40DL 3015 1h 45m Atlanta ATL 08:25 → MCO 09:56DL 1213 4h 16m 98% 90%
UnitedDetails → TYS 05:45 → IAD 07:30UA 4311 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 15m Dulles IAD 08:45 → MCO 11:08UA 379 5h 23m 94% 86%
AmericanDetails → TYS 05:00 → CLT 06:23AA 5954 · flown by Piedmont 1h 54m Charlotte CLT 08:17 → MCO 10:01AA 2170 5h 01m 95% 84%
DeltaDetails → TYS 07:15 → DTW 09:04DL 5196 · flown by Endeavor 3h 19m Detroit DTW 12:23 → MCO 15:01DL 1123 7h 46m 95% 84%
AmericanDetails → TYS 08:14 → CLT 09:24AA 5641 · flown by PSA 1h 30m Charlotte CLT 10:54 → MCO 12:47AA 1576 4h 33m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → TYS 06:45 → MSP 08:18DL 5523 · flown by Endeavor 1h 09m Minneapolis MSP 09:27 → MCO 13:40DL 1208 6h 55m 93% 84%
DeltaDetails → TYS 07:35 → ATL 08:47DL 5317 · flown by Endeavor 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → MCO 13:00DL 1030 5h 25m 94% 83%
AmericanDetails → TYS 07:00 → DCA 08:50AA 5149 · flown by PSA 2h 14m Washington DCA 11:04 → MCO 13:42AA 1153 6h 42m 96% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → TYS 07:15 → IAH 08:40UA 6298 · flown by Mesa 50m Houston IAH 09:30 → MCO 13:00UA 2310 5h 45m 63% 57%
DeltaDetails → TYS 15:59 → DTW 17:50DL 4698 · flown by Endeavor 47m Detroit DTW 18:37 → MCO 21:13DL 1274 5h 14m 63% 52%
AmericanDetails → TYS 20:05 → CLT 21:32AA 5957 · flown by Piedmont 57m Charlotte CLT 22:29 → MCO 00:17 +1AA 1879 4h 12m 55% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON