tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5523 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record TYS 06:45 MSP 08:18 8% 6% 0.8% 92%
DL 4803 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record TYS 18:42 MSP 20:17 39% 16% 0.0% 61%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Knoxville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → TYS 05:40 → ATL 06:40DL 3015 2h 04m Atlanta ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960 5h 38m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → TYS 11:57 → ATL 12:59DL 1743 1h 32m Atlanta ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:07DL 2825 5h 10m 97% 88%
AmericanDetails → TYS 05:00 → CLT 06:23AA 5954 · flown by Piedmont 2h 26m Charlotte CLT 08:49 → MSP 10:40AA 2972 6h 40m 95% 88%
DeltaDetails → TYS 07:35 → ATL 08:47DL 5317 · flown by Endeavor 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901 7h 15m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → TYS 15:54 → ATL 16:53DL 1148 1h 44m Atlanta ATL 18:37 → MSP 20:23DL 2654 5h 29m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → TYS 07:15 → DTW 09:04DL 5196 · flown by Endeavor 3h 16m Detroit DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:10DL 2697 6h 55m 95% 87%
AmericanDetails → TYS 08:14 → CLT 09:23AA 5641 · flown by PSA 2h 59m Charlotte CLT 12:22 → MSP 14:10AA 1671 6h 56m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → TYS 05:45 → IAD 07:30UA 4311 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 16m Dulles IAD 08:46 → MSP 10:33UA 2604 5h 48m 94% 86%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → TYS 17:25 → DTW 19:14DL 4697 · flown by Endeavor 52m Detroit DTW 20:06 → MSP 21:00DL 1303 4h 35m 61% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON